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Menkopolhukam Wiranto Ingatkan Masyarakat Forum Bersama Indonesia Tionghoa Menjaga Hubungan Toleransi Antar Umat Beragama

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    A scary-looking weather forecast showing a hurricane hitting the Gulf Coast in the second half of June swirled around social media this week—but don’t panic.

    It’s the season’s first “ghost hurricane.”

    Similar hype plays out every hurricane season, especially at the beginning: A cherry-picked, worst-case-scenario model run goes viral, but more often than not, will never come to fruition.

    Unofficially dubbed “ghost storms” or “ghost hurricanes,” these tropical systems regularly appear in weather models — computer simulations that help meteorologists forecast future conditions — but never seem to manifest in real life.

    The model responsible this week was the Global Forecast System, also known as the GFS or American model, run by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It’s one of many used by forecasters around the world.

    All models have known biases or “quirks” where they tend to overpredict or underpredict certain things. The GFS is known to overpredict tropical storms and hurricanes in longer-term forecasts that look more than a week into the future, which leads to these false alarms. The GFS isn’t alone in this — all models struggle to accurately predict tropical activity that far in advance — but it is notorious for doing so.

    For example, the GFS could spit out a prediction for a US hurricane landfall about 10 days from now, only to have that chance completely disappear as the forecast date draws closer. This can occur at any time of the year, but is most frequent during hurricane season — June through November.

    It’s exactly what’s been happening over the past week as forecasters keep an eye out for the first storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
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    No weather forecast model is designed in the exact same way as another, and that’s why each can generate different results with similar data.

    The reason the GFS has more false alarms when looking more than a week out than similar models – like Europe’s ECMWF, Canada’s CMC or the United Kingdom’s UKM – is because that’s exactly what it’s programmed to do, according to Alicia Bentley, the global verification project lead of NOAA’s Environmental Modeling Center.

    The GFS was built with a “weak parameterized cumulus convection scheme,” according to Bentley. In plain language, that means when the GFS thinks there could be thunderstorms developing in an area where tropical systems are possible – over the oceans – it’s more likely to jump to the conclusion that something tropical will develop than to ignore it.

    Other models aren’t built to be quite as sensitive to this phenomenon, and so they don’t show a tropical system until they’re more confident the right conditions are in place, which usually happens when the forecast gets closer in time.

    The western Caribbean Sea is one of the GFS’ favorite places to predict a ghost storm. That’s because of the Central American gyre: a large, disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms that rotates over the region and its surrounding water.

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    The summit, held at the University of Oxford in the UK and supported by UN Human Rights (OHCHR), aims to reframe climate change as a human rights crisis and spotlight climate solutions. It works with everyone from policymakers to artists to get the message across.

    “Photographers document the human rights impacts of climate change, helping to inform the public and hold governments and businesses accountable,” said Volker Turk, UN High Commissioner for the OHCHR, via email. “The Right Here, Right Now Global Climate Summit shows the power of collective action — uniting storytellers, scientists, indigenous leaders, and others to advance climate solutions rooted in human rights.”

    Coinciding with World Environment Day on June 5, the exhibition — titled “Photography 4 Humanity: A Lens on Climate Justice” — features the work of 31 photographers from across the globe, all documenting the effects of global warming and environmental pollution on their own communities.

    Climate change disproportionately affects vulnerable populations around the world. Despite emitting far fewer greenhouse gases, low-income nations are suffering the most from extreme weather events and have fewer resources to adapt or recover.
    Photographs at the exhibition show the effects of desertification, flooding and plastic pollution. A black and white image shows the ruins of a house in West Bengal, India, sloping towards the Ganges River, with the owner sitting alongside. Riverbank erosion is degrading the environment and displacing communities in the area. Photographer Masood Sarwer said in a press release that the photo depicts the “slow violence” of climate change: “These are not sudden disasters, but slow-moving, relentless ones — shaping a new category of environmental refugees.”

    Another photo, taken by Aung Chan Thar, shows children fishing for trash in Inle Lake, Myanmar. The lake was once a pristine natural wonder but now faces the growing threat of plastic pollution. “This image of children cleaning the water symbolizes the importance of education and collective action in preserving our environment for a sustainable future,” he said.

    Organizers hope that the exhibition will help to humanize the climate crisis. “Our mission is to inspire new perspectives through photography,” said Pauline Benthede, global vice president of artistic direction and exhibitions at Fotografiska, the museum of photography, art and culture that is curating the exhibition at the summit. “It draws attention to the human rights issue at the heart of global warming, which affects both the world’s landscapes and the people that live within them.”

    “Photography is the most influential and inclusive art form of our times and has the power to foster understanding and inspire action,” she added.

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    Coinciding with World Environment Day on June 5, the exhibition — titled “Photography 4 Humanity: A Lens on Climate Justice” — features the work of 31 photographers from across the globe, all documenting the effects of global warming and environmental pollution on their own communities.

    Climate change disproportionately affects vulnerable populations around the world. Despite emitting far fewer greenhouse gases, low-income nations are suffering the most from extreme weather events and have fewer resources to adapt or recover.
    Photographs at the exhibition show the effects of desertification, flooding and plastic pollution. A black and white image shows the ruins of a house in West Bengal, India, sloping towards the Ganges River, with the owner sitting alongside. Riverbank erosion is degrading the environment and displacing communities in the area. Photographer Masood Sarwer said in a press release that the photo depicts the “slow violence” of climate change: “These are not sudden disasters, but slow-moving, relentless ones — shaping a new category of environmental refugees.”

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    There is increasing concern about the future of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation — known as the AMOC — a system of currents that works like a giant conveyor belt, pulling warm water from the Southern Hemisphere and tropics to the Northern Hemisphere, where it cools, sinks and flows back south.

    Multiple studies suggest the AMOC is weakening with some projecting it could even collapse this century as global warming disrupts the balance of heat and salinity that keeps it moving. This would usher in huge global weather and climate shifts — including plunging temperatures in Europe, which relies on the AMOC for its mild climate.

    What’s less clear, however, is how these impacts will unfold in a world heated up by humans burning fossil fuels.

    “What if the AMOC collapses and we have climate change? Does the cooling win or does the warming win?” asked Rene van Westen, a marine and atmospheric researcher at Utrecht University in the Netherlands and co-author of the paper published Wednesday in the Geophysical Research Letters journal.

    This new study is the first to use a modern, complex climate model to answer the question, he told CNN.
    The researchers looked at a scenario where the AMOC weakens by 80% and the Earth is around 2 degrees Celsius warmer than the period before humans began burning large amounts of fossil fuels. The planet is currently at 1.2 degrees of warming.

    They focused on what would happen as the climate stabilized post-collapse, multiple decades into the future.

    Even in this hotter world, they found “substantial cooling” over Europe with sharp drops in average winter temperatures and more intense cold extremes — a very different picture than the United States, where the study found temperatures would continue to increase even with an AMOC collapse.

    Sea ice would spread southward as far as Scandinavia, parts of the United Kingdom and the Netherlands, the research found. This would have a huge impact on cold extremes as the white surface of the ice reflects the sun’s energy back into space, amplifying cooling.

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    GISS has a storied history in climate science on the global scale.

    James Hansen, a former director, first called national attention to human-caused global warming at a Senate hearing during the hot summer of 1988. The lab, founded in 1961, is still known worldwide for its computer modeling of the planet that enable scientists to make projections for how climate change may affect global temperatures, precipitation, extreme weather events and other variables.

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    “It’s an absolute sh*tshow,” one GISS scientist said under condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak to the media. “Morale at GISS has never been lower, and it feels for all of us that we are being abandoned by NASA leadership.”

    “We are supposedly going to be integrated into this new virtual NASA modeling institute, but (we have) no idea what that will actually look like,” they said.

    NASA is defending its budget proposal, with a nod toward the lab’s future.
    “NASA’s GISS has a significant place in the history of space science and its work is critical for the Earth Science Division, particularly as the division looks to the future of its modeling work and capabilities,” NASA spokesperson Cheryl Warner said in a statement.

    “Fundamental contributions in research and applications from GISS directly impact daily life by showing the Earth system connections that impact the air we breathe, our health, the food we grow, and the cities we live in,” Warner said.

    GISS has a storied history in climate science on the global scale.

    James Hansen, a former director, first called national attention to human-caused global warming at a Senate hearing during the hot summer of 1988. The lab, founded in 1961, is still known worldwide for its computer modeling of the planet that enable scientists to make projections for how climate change may affect global temperatures, precipitation, extreme weather events and other variables.

  55. HenryAgoff berkata:

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    Career specialists are now working remotely, awaiting details and even more unsure about their future at the lab after they were kicked out of their longtime home in New York City last week. Closing the lab for good could jeopardize its value and the country’s leadership role in global climate science, sources say.

    “It’s an absolute sh*tshow,” one GISS scientist said under condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak to the media. “Morale at GISS has never been lower, and it feels for all of us that we are being abandoned by NASA leadership.”

    “We are supposedly going to be integrated into this new virtual NASA modeling institute, but (we have) no idea what that will actually look like,” they said.

    NASA is defending its budget proposal, with a nod toward the lab’s future.
    “NASA’s GISS has a significant place in the history of space science and its work is critical for the Earth Science Division, particularly as the division looks to the future of its modeling work and capabilities,” NASA spokesperson Cheryl Warner said in a statement.

    “Fundamental contributions in research and applications from GISS directly impact daily life by showing the Earth system connections that impact the air we breathe, our health, the food we grow, and the cities we live in,” Warner said.

    GISS has a storied history in climate science on the global scale.

    James Hansen, a former director, first called national attention to human-caused global warming at a Senate hearing during the hot summer of 1988. The lab, founded in 1961, is still known worldwide for its computer modeling of the planet that enable scientists to make projections for how climate change may affect global temperatures, precipitation, extreme weather events and other variables.

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    Local authorities had already evacuated the village after parts of the mountain had crumbled onto the glacier; a 64-year old man believed to have stayed remains missing.

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    The underlying causes will take time to unravel. A collapse of this magnitude would have been set in motion by geological factors going back decades at least, said Matthias Huss, a glaciologist at the Swiss university ETH Zurich.

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    The underlying causes will take time to unravel. A collapse of this magnitude would have been set in motion by geological factors going back decades at least, said Matthias Huss, a glaciologist at the Swiss university ETH Zurich.

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    Optical sensor (laser tachometer) with 50-500mm measuring distance
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    Software for Windows 7-11 (32/64-bit)
    Plastic transport case
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    Metric and imperial system support
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    The device is successfully used for balancing crushers of various types, turbochargers, drone propellers, and other high-speed equipment. The rotation frequency range from 250 to 90,000 RPM covers essentially all types of industrial equipment.
    Benefits Over Competitors
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    At a price of €1,751, Balanset-1A delivers the functionality of devices costing €10,000-25,000. The investment recovers costs after preventing just 2-3 bearing failures. Savings on external balancing specialist services totals thousands of euros annually.
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    Cost and Delivery Terms
    Current Prices

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    OEM Kit (without case, stand, and scales): €1,561
    Special Offer: €50 discount for newsletter subscribers
    Volume Discounts: up to 15% for orders of 4+ units

    Acquisition Options

    Official Website: vibromera.eu (recommended)
    eBay: trusted sellers with 100% rating
    Industrial Distributors: through B2B channels

    Payment and Shipping Terms

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    Shipping: 10-20 business days by international mail
    Shipping Cost: from $10 (economy) to $95 (express)
    Warranty: manufacturer’s warranty
    Technical Support: included in price

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    The first major attack against Hezbollah this week came Tuesday afternoon when pagers belonging to the militant groups’ members exploded near-simultaneously. The pagers had been used by Hezbollah to communicate after the group’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah, encouraged members to switch to low-tech devices to prevent more of them from being assassinated.

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    In a United Nations Security Council meeting on Friday, UN human rights chief Volker Turk on Friday warned that the detonation of communication devices could violate international human rights law.

    Lebanese Foreign Minister Abdallah Bou Habib and Israeli Ambassador to the UN Danny Danon clashed at the heated meeting, with Bou Habib calling on the council to condemn Israel’s actions and Danon slamming the Lebanese envoy for not mentioning Hezbollah.

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    Ethena Overview
    Ethena is a blockchain project dedicated to creating secure, scalable, and user-friendly DeFi solutions. Its ecosystem encompasses various components such as Ethena Fi, Ethena Lab, and its native tokens like Ethena USDE. The project aims to bridge traditional finance with innovative crypto solutions, making decentralized finance accessible to a broader audience.

    Ethena Fi
    Ethena Fi is the decentralized finance platform built on the Ethena ecosystem. It offers a suite of financial products including lending, borrowing, staking, and yield farming. Ethena Fi emphasizes security and transparency, providing users with reliable tools to grow their crypto assets.

    Ethena Finance
    Ethena Finance refers to the broader financial ecosystem powered by Ethena’s blockchain technology. It integrates various DeFi protocols, enabling seamless asset management, liquidity provision, and crypto trading. Ethena Finance aims to create a comprehensive financial environment where users can leverage their crypto holdings efficiently.

    Ethena Lab
    Ethena Lab is the innovation hub within the Ethena ecosystem. It focuses on research, development, and testing of new blockchain solutions, smart contracts, and DeFi protocols. Ethena Lab drives continuous innovation, ensuring the platform remains at the forefront of crypto technology.

    Ethena USDE
    Ethena USDE is the native stablecoin of the Ethena ecosystem. Pegged to a stable asset, USDE provides a reliable medium of exchange within the platform, facilitating smooth transactions, lending, and borrowing activities. It aims to maintain stability while offering the benefits of decentralization.

    Ethena Finance Crypto
    Ethena Finance crypto encompasses the entire range of digital assets, tokens, and protocols developed under the Ethena project. It includes the native tokens, stablecoins, and other crypto assets that facilitate DeFi operations, liquidity pools, and decentralized trading.

  411. Bernardnem berkata:

    Aerodrome Finance: Innovations and Opportunities
    In today’s evolving landscape, the development of aerodrome infrastructure and related financial tools is becoming increasingly significant. This article explores key aspects of aerodrome finance, along with emerging trends in decentralized finance (DeFi), such as aerodrome swap, aerodrome exchange, and aerodrome DEX.
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    What is Aerodrome Finance?
    Aerodrome finance refers to the integration of traditional aerodrome operations with modern financial technologies, enabling optimized management of assets, investments, and operations at aerodrome bases. This concept involves creating specialized aerodrome bases that serve as platforms for financial transactions and investment activities.

    Aerodrome Base
    An aerodrome base is a foundational platform that combines aerodrome infrastructure with financial instruments. It provides transparency, security, and efficiency in asset management and acts as a core for implementing innovative financial solutions.

    Aerodrome Swap
    An aerodrome swap is a financial instrument allowing participants to exchange assets or liabilities related to aerodrome infrastructure. Such swaps help manage risks associated with fluctuations in asset values or currency exchange rates.

    Aerodrome Exchange
    An aerodrome exchange is a marketplace for trading assets linked to aerodromes, including tokens representing infrastructure or other financial instruments. It ensures liquidity and market access for investors and operators.

    Aerodrome DeFi Solutions
    Aerodrome DeFi involves applying decentralized finance protocols within the aerodrome sector. This includes establishing aerodrome finance bases where users can obtain loans, participate in liquidity pools, and earn yields by providing liquidity.

    Aerodrome DEX
    An aerodrome DEX is a decentralized exchange that facilitates token swaps without intermediaries. This aerodrome DEX promotes local market development and enhances access to financial services for industry participants.

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    Aerodrome Finance: Innovations and Opportunities
    In today’s evolving landscape, the development of aerodrome infrastructure and related financial tools is becoming increasingly significant. This article explores key aspects of aerodrome finance, along with emerging trends in decentralized finance (DeFi), such as aerodrome swap, aerodrome exchange, and aerodrome DEX.
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    What is Aerodrome Finance?
    Aerodrome finance refers to the integration of traditional aerodrome operations with modern financial technologies, enabling optimized management of assets, investments, and operations at aerodrome bases. This concept involves creating specialized aerodrome bases that serve as platforms for financial transactions and investment activities.

    Aerodrome Base
    An aerodrome base is a foundational platform that combines aerodrome infrastructure with financial instruments. It provides transparency, security, and efficiency in asset management and acts as a core for implementing innovative financial solutions.

    Aerodrome Swap
    An aerodrome swap is a financial instrument allowing participants to exchange assets or liabilities related to aerodrome infrastructure. Such swaps help manage risks associated with fluctuations in asset values or currency exchange rates.

    Aerodrome Exchange
    An aerodrome exchange is a marketplace for trading assets linked to aerodromes, including tokens representing infrastructure or other financial instruments. It ensures liquidity and market access for investors and operators.

    Aerodrome DeFi Solutions
    Aerodrome DeFi involves applying decentralized finance protocols within the aerodrome sector. This includes establishing aerodrome finance bases where users can obtain loans, participate in liquidity pools, and earn yields by providing liquidity.

    Aerodrome DEX
    An aerodrome DEX is a decentralized exchange that facilitates token swaps without intermediaries. This aerodrome DEX promotes local market development and enhances access to financial services for industry participants.

  414. Justinliavy berkata:

    Aerodrome Finance: Innovations and Opportunities
    In today’s evolving landscape, the development of aerodrome infrastructure and related financial tools is becoming increasingly significant. This article explores key aspects of aerodrome finance, along with emerging trends in decentralized finance (DeFi), such as aerodrome swap, aerodrome exchange, and aerodrome DEX.
    aerodrome defi
    What is Aerodrome Finance?
    Aerodrome finance refers to the integration of traditional aerodrome operations with modern financial technologies, enabling optimized management of assets, investments, and operations at aerodrome bases. This concept involves creating specialized aerodrome bases that serve as platforms for financial transactions and investment activities.

    Aerodrome Base
    An aerodrome base is a foundational platform that combines aerodrome infrastructure with financial instruments. It provides transparency, security, and efficiency in asset management and acts as a core for implementing innovative financial solutions.

    Aerodrome Swap
    An aerodrome swap is a financial instrument allowing participants to exchange assets or liabilities related to aerodrome infrastructure. Such swaps help manage risks associated with fluctuations in asset values or currency exchange rates.

    Aerodrome Exchange
    An aerodrome exchange is a marketplace for trading assets linked to aerodromes, including tokens representing infrastructure or other financial instruments. It ensures liquidity and market access for investors and operators.

    Aerodrome DeFi Solutions
    Aerodrome DeFi involves applying decentralized finance protocols within the aerodrome sector. This includes establishing aerodrome finance bases where users can obtain loans, participate in liquidity pools, and earn yields by providing liquidity.

    Aerodrome DEX
    An aerodrome DEX is a decentralized exchange that facilitates token swaps without intermediaries. This aerodrome DEX promotes local market development and enhances access to financial services for industry participants.

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